Friday, April 01, 2005

Civic Duty vs. Distractions

If I were a good citizen, I would be plowing through the new report on the 'intelligence failure' regarding Iraq's weapons of mass destruction. But I would rather browse the New York Public Library Digital Gallery, play this grid-game [I was able to score 1437; then my son Tim stepped up and scored 1576], or play Snood (shareware download available).

This morning's op/ed in USA Today summarizes neatly and tells what the report didn't say:
More interesting, though, is what's missing from this new report. The report didn't attempt to connect the intelligence failures to the fateful decision they encouraged: to go to war on what proved to be false grounds.

If the report is taken at face value, this was all the fault of the spy agencies' blundering. The bipartisan commission found no evidence that intelligence judgments were changed because of political pressure. The commission chairs, senior federal Judge Laurence Silberman and former Virginia senator Charles Robb, reiterated that finding on Thursday.

But in a few telling paragraphs among more than 600 pages, the panel allowed that some analysts were influenced by the conventional wisdom, which said Saddam Hussein was hiding an arsenal, and "the sense that challenges to it - or even refusals to find its confirmation - would not be welcome."

Little wonder. In the months before the war, Vice President Cheney said there was "no doubt" Saddam was amassing weapons. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said that even "a trained ape" knew it was true. President Bush repeatedly made the case not just that war in Iraq was necessary, but that it was urgent.

That is not a climate that would lead anyone to conclude that facts still needed to be discerned. And it is one that needs change, beginning at the intelligence agencies.

Even 9/11 and the deaths of more 1,500 U.S. troops in Iraq haven't budged them from bad habits, particularly refusals to share information and encourage differing views, the commission said. The nation's new intelligence czar will need to knock heads.

For the political leadership, the task is simpler. They need only leave room for facts to get in the way of their conclusions - and use war only as a last resort.
Dan Froomkin's White House Briefing column yesterday [Washington Post, registration required, no permanent link?] had links to the full unclassified part of the report[PDF] itself and much more:
Conclusion 26: "The Intelligence Community did not make or change any analytic judgments in response to political pressure to reach a particular conclusion, but the pervasive conventional wisdom that Saddam retained WMD affected the analytic process."

The commission acknowledges this: "Many observers of the Intelligence Community have expressed concern that Intelligence Community judgments concerning Iraq's purported WMD programs may have been warped by inappropriate political pressure."
Mr. Froomkin provided links to references to this part of the report:[for most of these links, I presume registration will be required; many will be behind the subscription barrier.] I will read this stuff when I'm not distracted by other things.